Dolphin Ratings - NCAA Football

Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.

Schedule The number in this column is the effective opponent strength of a team. In other words, they would be expected to have the same record had they played all games against an opponent of this predictive rating at a neutral site. Because this calculation depends on the strength of the team in question, it is not possible to rank schedules using these values.
Standard Ranks teams in an order such that a team is "probably better" than all teams ranked lower than it. This calculation uses margin of victory only for computing a team's opponents strengths; the team's rating itself is computed using only wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule
Median Likelihood Determines the likely ratings for each team, based on its wins, losses, and ties relative to its schedule. This generally produces the same or similar ratings as the standard ranking.
Predictive Both schedule strength and rating vs. schedule strength are determined considering both the wins and losses and the score differentials. This rating contains none of the biases in the standard rating, but does weight recent games slightly more than past games since those are a better indication of the team's current strength. This rating is the best of the first three for seeing how good teams are, and thus is the best for predicting future results.
Improved RPI Rating The improved RPI formula is similar to the standard RPI, except that the schedule strength is carried out to infinite depth instead of ending with opponents' opponents, thus allows for a better comparison of isolated groups of teams than is given by the standard RPI calculation. It is similar to the simple rating, except that all games are given equal weight.
RPI Rating. The RPI rating is based on the BCS formula, and approximates the schedule, loss, and quality win components.
Pseudopoll. The pseudopoll contains an AI evaluation of each team's season, designed to mimic human decision-making processes. There are 121 voters, each with slightly different biases.
Predictive-Scoring. This value indicates how many points a team would be expected to score if it played an identical team.
Predictive-Offense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team scores. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to score the league average number of points. This does not necessarily rate a team's offensive abilities, as a fast pace in basketball or big-play defense in football can make a team score more points.
Predictive-Defense. This combines the predictive and scoring ratings to measure how many points a team allows. The number is the predictive rating of an opponent against whom the team would be expected to allow the league average number of points. The same caveat in the predictive-offense rating applies here.

Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Army                          9   0   0  412   46  2.524    1  3.076    1  3.277    1  3.971    1 0.7866    1 0.8088    1   1250  1.164  4.458  3.483
Alabama                      10   0   0  430   80  1.477    2  2.814    2  2.623    3  2.653    3 0.7026    2 0.7245    2   1200  1.349  3.379  1.926
Navy                          7   1   1  220   65  2.248    3  2.783    3  2.562    2  2.890    2 0.7295    3 0.7204    4   1100  0.574  2.733  3.046
Indiana                       9   0   1  279   56  1.330    4  2.637    4  2.283    5  2.167    4 0.7019    6 0.6519    3   1150  0.672  2.106  2.229
Michigan                      7   3   0  187   99  1.912    5  2.513    5  2.049    4  2.312    5 0.6925    8 0.6421    5   1005  0.514  2.100  2.524
Oklahoma State                9   0   0  285   76  0.497    6  2.484    6  1.977   10  1.714    6 0.6664    4 0.6975    6    985  1.114  2.140  1.287
Notre Dame                    7   2   1  255  122  1.434    7  2.454    7  1.924    7  1.914   12 0.6456   15 0.5906   10    833  0.929  2.123  1.705
Georgia                       9   2   0  314  100  1.141    8  2.324    8  1.680    6  1.916   11 0.6459    7 0.6442    7    985  0.952  2.152  1.681
Purdue                        7   3   0  198  125  1.360    9  2.300    9  1.642   13  1.480   10 0.6463    9 0.6258    8    878  0.886  1.641  1.319
Duke                          6   2   0  229  114  1.221   10  2.277   10  1.589   14  1.435    9 0.6471   12 0.5991   12    654  1.052  1.786  1.084
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Ohio State                    7   2   0  194   71  1.120   11  2.268   11  1.570    9  1.794    7 0.6518   20 0.5748    9    834  0.640  1.701  1.887
Tennessee                     8   1   0  238   52  0.713   12  2.262   12  1.552   12  1.681    8 0.6505    5 0.6524   15    536  0.484  1.443  1.920
Louisiana State               7   2   0  245   92  1.037   13  2.214   13  1.460   11  1.706   13 0.6237   16 0.5901   11    774  0.989  1.984  1.428
Pennsylvania                  6   2   0  237   88  1.287   14  2.152   14  1.322    8  1.833   17 0.6063   18 0.5809   17    418  0.822  1.926  1.740
Northwestern                  4   4   1  127  148  1.316   15  2.115   15  1.252   16  1.064   19 0.5972   36 0.5276   24     77  1.000  1.354  0.773
Texas                        10   1   0  257   86  0.064   16  2.027   16  1.092   19  0.887   14 0.6189   11 0.6107   20    353  0.868  1.029  0.746
Miami (Florida)               9   1   1  211   99  0.171   17  1.976   17  1.004   26  0.715   15 0.6115   23 0.5685   18    406  0.791  0.774  0.655
Columbia                      8   1   0  251  105 -0.203   18  1.972   18  0.993   28  0.637   24 0.5599   14 0.5919   26     50  1.269  1.257  0.016
Temple                        7   1   0  198   51 -0.320   19  1.928   19  0.900   36  0.302   31 0.5350   33 0.5375   14    566  0.615  0.185  0.420
Tulsa                         8   3   0  275   84  0.711   20  1.905   20  0.852   15  1.168   25 0.5561   27 0.5558   21    322  0.477  0.923  1.412
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wake Forest                   5   3   1  163  151  0.707   21  1.895   21  0.834   25  0.732   18 0.5979   22 0.5696   22    179  0.897  0.906  0.558
Wisconsin                     3   4   2  128  128  1.058   22  1.859   22  0.776   18  0.946   21 0.5687   47 0.4961   28      0  0.636  0.850  1.043
Holy Cross                    8   2   0  223   52 -0.072   23  1.742   23  0.567   21  0.800   22 0.5638   17 0.5899   27     25  0.508  0.583  1.018
Villanova                     4   4   0   89  169  0.507   24  1.682   24  0.553   35  0.317   20 0.5737   10 0.6115   29      0  0.189 -0.165  0.799
Michigan State                5   3   1  120  128  0.337   25  1.661   25  0.510   38  0.221   23 0.5612   40 0.5210   30      0  0.571  0.061  0.380
Clemson                       6   3   1  211   73  0.409   26  1.650   26  0.492   20  0.807   26 0.5484   45 0.5078   23    112  0.321  0.429  1.186
St. Mary's                    6   2   0  256   65  0.367   27  1.607   27  0.404   24  0.749   33 0.5246   19 0.5788   16    455  0.942  0.973  0.525
Missouri                      6   4   0  170  174  0.013   28  1.595   28  0.384   43 -0.015   27 0.5411   38 0.5240   31      0  0.987  0.260 -0.290
Illinois                      2   6   1   93  104  1.158   29  1.584   29  0.370   22  0.795   34 0.5246   68 0.4330   32      0  0.139  0.276  1.315
Mississippi State             6   3   0  221  108  0.475   30  1.574   31  0.344   23  0.771   30 0.5378   35 0.5320   13    650  0.902  0.951  0.591
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Georgia Tech                  4   6   0  157  165  0.881   31  1.571   30  0.344   29  0.557   37 0.5213   57 0.4745   33      0  0.825  0.652  0.461
Texas A&M                     6   4   0  159  103  0.239   32  1.566   32  0.331   31  0.445   28 0.5403   32 0.5378   34      0  0.631  0.344  0.547
Great Lakes Navy              6   4   1  221  164  1.039   33  1.502   33  0.235   17  1.007   16 0.6093   13 0.5977   19    393  1.048  1.354  0.661
North Carolina                5   5   0  113  149  0.514   34  1.496   34  0.227   37  0.282   40 0.5149   49 0.4915   35      0  0.559  0.112  0.452
Penn State                    5   3   0  173   89  0.108   35  1.467   36  0.167   32  0.440   36 0.5215   30 0.5396   36      0  0.844  0.556  0.324
Minnesota                     4   5   0  177  155  0.716   36  1.466   35  0.171   27  0.656   29 0.5381   61 0.4575   37      0  1.156  1.134  0.179
William & Mary                6   3   0  180  110 -0.159   37  1.460   37  0.157   39  0.174   35 0.5217   26 0.5609   38      0  0.868  0.315  0.032
South Carolina                2   4   3  113  192  0.273   38  1.455   38  0.152   51 -0.216   43 0.5074   55 0.4794   39      0  0.645 -0.304 -0.128
Virginia                      7   2   0  265   79 -0.472   39  1.454   39  0.145   33  0.379   46 0.4990   51 0.4879   40      0  1.046  0.723  0.035
Marquette                     5   4   1  238  156  0.092   40  1.437   40  0.119   34  0.338   41 0.5149   58 0.4667   41      0  1.245  0.928 -0.252
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas Christian               5   5   0   91  156  0.024   41  1.428   41  0.103   59 -0.363   38 0.5180   41 0.5179   42      0  0.564 -0.529 -0.198
Tennessee-Chattanooga         5   3   0  153  129  0.017   42  1.425   42  0.097   48 -0.179   32 0.5302   43 0.5123   25     60  0.844 -0.063 -0.295
New Mexico                    6   1   1  208   61 -0.679   43  1.371   43 -0.016   45 -0.063   39 0.5154   39 0.5237   43      0  0.744 -0.052 -0.073
Yale                          6   3   0  160  102 -0.494   44  1.320   44 -0.107   53 -0.229   48 0.4960   42 0.5129   44      0  0.735 -0.228 -0.230
Maryland                      6   2   1  219  105 -0.554   45  1.318   45 -0.111   44 -0.028   45 0.5032   37 0.5266   45      0  0.981  0.240 -0.296
Southern California           7   4   0  205  150 -0.106   46  1.278   47 -0.177   40  0.142   44 0.5064   21 0.5715   46      0  0.915  0.335 -0.052
Mississippi                   4   5   0  100  183 -0.115   47  1.276   46 -0.177   71 -0.560   51 0.4852   59 0.4617   47      0  0.811 -0.479 -0.640
Washington State              6   2   1  157   70 -0.790   48  1.263   48 -0.202   54 -0.230   59 0.4711   25 0.5629   48      0  0.641 -0.322 -0.137
Baylor                        5   5   1  178  141 -0.019   49  1.244   49 -0.230   46 -0.104   61 0.4687   65 0.4455   49      0  0.845  0.013 -0.221
Washington                    6   3   0   91   54 -0.709   50  1.235   50 -0.249   57 -0.348   63 0.4640   31 0.5381   50      0 -0.103 -1.031  0.335
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Detroit Mercy                 6   3   0  193  114 -0.480   51  1.234   51 -0.251   63 -0.474   66 0.4572   86 0.3724   51      0  0.894 -0.304 -0.644
Pittsburgh                    3   7   0   87  141  0.369   52  1.214   52 -0.280   42  0.007   60 0.4707   74 0.4153   52      0  0.139 -0.512  0.526
Cornell                       5   4   0  169  166 -0.403   53  1.212   54 -0.290   60 -0.382   62 0.4657   56 0.4772   53      0  1.225  0.183 -0.946
Texas Tech                    3   5   2   63  145 -0.041   54  1.211   53 -0.289   65 -0.490   58 0.4714   60 0.4608   54      0  0.114 -1.027  0.047
Southern Methodist            5   6   0  201  110  0.180   55  1.145   56 -0.394   30  0.523   47 0.4990   53 0.4826   55      0  0.532  0.328  0.719
Tulane                        2   6   1   93  212  0.197   56  1.113   55 -0.331   64 -0.489   71 0.4444   87 0.3666   56      0  1.094 -0.088 -0.891
Oklahoma                      5   5   0  169  138 -0.274   57  1.073   57 -0.401   47 -0.155   49 0.4900   52 0.4859   57      0  0.746 -0.141 -0.168
Iowa                          2   7   0   74  310  0.272   58  1.054   58 -0.433   80 -0.892   56 0.4739   83 0.3843   58      0  1.038 -0.557 -1.227
Iowa State                    4   3   1  156   97 -0.512   59  1.043   59 -0.459   56 -0.343   57 0.4718   64 0.4465   59      0  0.631 -0.445 -0.241
Arkansas                      3   7   0  112  222  0.153   60  1.040   60 -0.461   67 -0.502   68 0.4534   66 0.4396   60      0  1.058 -0.143 -0.861
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colgate                       3   4   1  128  111 -0.304   61  1.028   61 -0.486   69 -0.534   75 0.4353   50 0.4891   61      0  0.483 -0.774 -0.295
Auburn                        5   5   0  172  129  0.057   62  1.023   62 -0.497   55 -0.254   52 0.4823   63 0.4497   62      0  0.573 -0.411 -0.097
Brown                         3   4   1  123  141 -0.415   63  1.020   63 -0.500   68 -0.531   64 0.4637   54 0.4822   63      0  0.747 -0.517 -0.545
Rice                          5   6   0  130  153  0.044   64  1.004   64 -0.528   41  0.086   42 0.5132   46 0.5015   64      0  0.545 -0.097  0.269
North Carolina State          3   6   0  131  144  0.061   65  0.972   65 -0.576   52 -0.220   70 0.4474   73 0.4186   65      0  0.707 -0.247 -0.192
Colorado                      5   3   0  111   58 -0.701   66  0.940   67 -0.639   49 -0.186   50 0.4860   24 0.5682   66      0  0.346 -0.543  0.172
Utah                          4   4   0  146  165 -0.374   67  0.927   66 -0.618   58 -0.355   53 0.4808   28 0.5521   67      0  1.118  0.076 -0.785
Virginia Military Institute   5   4   0  155  138 -0.578   68  0.915   68 -0.640   73 -0.596   55 0.4742   48 0.4921   68      0  0.952 -0.360 -0.831
UCLA                          5   4   0  135   79 -0.371   69  0.901   70 -0.664   50 -0.203   72 0.4411   70 0.4258   69      0  0.239 -0.646  0.241
California                    4   5   1   93  107 -0.430   70  0.849   69 -0.661   74 -0.672   82 0.4002   82 0.3875   70      0  0.408 -0.977 -0.367
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Denver                        4   5   1  201  182 -0.561   71  0.833   71 -0.686   62 -0.448   76 0.4345   62 0.4527   71      0  1.289  0.200 -1.095
Merchant Marine               5   3   0  175  127 -1.063   72  0.831   72 -0.695   83 -0.997   73 0.4409   44 0.5104   72      0  1.053 -0.645 -1.350
Nebraska                      4   5   0  145  200 -0.703   73  0.814   73 -0.722   84 -1.015   65 0.4604   76 0.4053   73      0  0.922 -0.813 -1.216
Vanderbilt                    3   6   0   71  215 -0.316   74  0.803   74 -0.744   76 -0.794   67 0.4547   72 0.4229   74      0  0.545 -0.977 -0.610
Utah State                    4   3   0  173   92 -0.888   75  0.799   75 -0.753   79 -0.882   86 0.3872   80 0.3914   75      0  0.750 -0.865 -0.899
Kansas                        4   5   1  139  175 -0.751   76  0.793   76 -0.761   86 -1.070   74 0.4361   69 0.4268   76      0  0.742 -1.061 -1.078
St. Louis                     5   4   0  194  139 -0.873   77  0.787   77 -0.775   90 -1.411   87 0.3861  101 0.2492   77      0  0.638 -1.506 -1.316
Dartmouth                     1   6   1   40  119  0.062   78  0.761   78 -0.816   61 -0.427   79 0.4196   67 0.4334   78      0 -0.044 -1.073  0.218
Oregon State                  4   4   1  100  131 -0.778   79  0.753   79 -0.835   82 -0.978   77 0.4273   34 0.5332   79      0  0.602 -1.108 -0.848
Drake                         5   4   1  217  115 -0.715   80  0.730   80 -0.876   66 -0.491   84 0.3944   94 0.3105   80      0  0.729 -0.496 -0.487
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado College              4   3   1  128   95 -0.997   81  0.709   81 -0.908   85 -1.047   81 0.4048   79 0.3941   81      0  0.390 -1.368 -0.726
Florida                       4   5   1  155  100 -0.508   82  0.701   82 -0.921   70 -0.538   69 0.4517   78 0.3950   82      0  0.164 -1.039 -0.037
Princeton                     2   3   2   69  112 -0.591   83  0.700   83 -0.923   77 -0.839   78 0.4205   75 0.4079   83      0  0.550 -1.018 -0.660
Virginia Tech                 2   6   0   78  150 -0.478   84  0.688   84 -0.938   88 -1.088   83 0.3957   85 0.3729   84      0  0.506 -1.306 -0.869
Oregon                        3   6   0  116  124 -0.726   85  0.636   85 -1.039   78 -0.856   90 0.3771   71 0.4244   85      0  0.956 -0.616 -1.097
Bucknell                      2   5   0   68  194 -0.761   86  0.622   86 -1.065   92 -1.593   89 0.3852   81 0.3887   86      0  1.006 -1.296 -1.891
Wichita State                 6   4   0  214  142 -1.414   87  0.563   87 -1.183   91 -1.426   88 0.3856   97 0.2984   87      0  0.713 -1.446 -1.405
Harvard                       5   3   0  161   80 -1.166   88  0.559   89 -1.189   75 -0.687   54 0.4779   29 0.5487   88      0  0.631 -0.789 -0.584
Boston College                3   4   0   79  171 -1.414   89  0.558   88 -1.186   94 -1.893   85 0.3910   84 0.3759   89      0  1.095 -1.489 -2.296
Kentucky                      2   8   0   96  217 -0.072   90  0.498   90 -1.300   72 -0.576   80 0.4160   77 0.3955   90      0  0.786 -0.521 -0.630
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Syracuse                      1   6   0   38  106 -0.487   91  0.456   91 -1.381   81 -0.965   94 0.3450   91 0.3379   91      0  0.136 -1.486 -0.443
West Virginia                 2   6   1  122  126 -0.577   92  0.442   92 -1.392   87 -1.077   95 0.3352   98 0.2963   92      0  0.594 -1.215 -0.940
Colorado State                2   5   1   90  178 -1.056   93  0.408   93 -1.449   93 -1.771   99 0.3263   93 0.3229   93      0  0.638 -1.866 -1.675
Richmond                      2   6   0   87  216 -1.129   94  0.309   94 -1.624   99 -2.399  100 0.3244   92 0.3314   94      0  0.704 -2.429 -2.370
West Texas A&M                2   6   0  115  145 -0.808   95  0.303   95 -1.636   89 -1.365   96 0.3341   99 0.2860   95      0  0.711 -1.387 -1.342
New York University           3   4   0   89  125 -2.023   96  0.207   96 -1.816  100 -2.476   98 0.3274  100 0.2769   96      0  0.653 -2.557 -2.396
Lafayette                     1   7   1   58  210 -1.305   97  0.103   97 -1.990   96 -2.113   97 0.3289   90 0.3514   97      0  0.630 -2.216 -2.010
Presbyterian                  1   6   0   47  288 -1.216   98  0.091   98 -2.012  101 -2.735   91 0.3707   95 0.3053   98      0  0.675 -2.794 -2.676
Kansas State                  1   7   0   71  268 -1.182   99  0.084   99 -2.022   98 -2.251   92 0.3495   96 0.3015   99      0  1.079 -1.868 -2.635
Coast Guard                   0   7   1   31  209 -0.776  100  0.066  100 -2.059   95 -2.075   93 0.3463   88 0.3648  100      0  0.597 -2.209 -1.940
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Idaho                         1   7   0   78  175 -1.244  101  0.000  101 -2.188   97 -2.174  101 0.2839   89 0.3524  101      0  0.777 -2.129 -2.220
UNRANKED                     31 115   2 1207 4137 -1.091      -1.000      -1.000      -1.872      0.3754      0.3692           0  1.017 -1.562 -2.182


Big 6: strength=-0.806 (#10)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Missouri                      6   4   0  170  174  0.013   28  1.595   28  0.384   43 -0.015   27 0.5411   38 0.5240   31      0  0.987  0.260 -0.290
Oklahoma                      5   5   0  169  138 -0.274   57  1.073   57 -0.401   47 -0.155   49 0.4900   52 0.4859   57      0  0.746 -0.141 -0.168
Iowa State                    4   3   1  156   97 -0.512   59  1.043   59 -0.459   56 -0.343   57 0.4718   64 0.4465   59      0  0.631 -0.445 -0.241
Nebraska                      4   5   0  145  200 -0.703   73  0.814   73 -0.722   84 -1.015   65 0.4604   76 0.4053   73      0  0.922 -0.813 -1.216
Kansas                        4   5   1  139  175 -0.751   76  0.793   76 -0.761   86 -1.070   74 0.4361   69 0.4268   76      0  0.742 -1.061 -1.078
Kansas State                  1   7   0   71  268 -1.182   99  0.084   99 -2.022   98 -2.251   92 0.3495   96 0.3015   99      0  1.079 -1.868 -2.635

Border: strength=-0.697 (#8)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
New Mexico                    6   1   1  208   61 -0.679   43  1.371   43 -0.016   45 -0.063   39 0.5154   39 0.5237   43      0  0.744 -0.052 -0.073
Texas Tech                    3   5   2   63  145 -0.041   54  1.211   53 -0.289   65 -0.490   58 0.4714   60 0.4608   54      0  0.114 -1.027  0.047
West Texas A&M                2   6   0  115  145 -0.808   95  0.303   95 -1.636   89 -1.365   96 0.3341   99 0.2860   95      0  0.711 -1.387 -1.342

Independent: strength=-0.219 (#5)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Army                          9   0   0  412   46  2.524    1  3.076    1  3.277    1  3.971    1 0.7866    1 0.8088    1   1250  1.164  4.458  3.483
Navy                          7   1   1  220   65  2.248    3  2.783    3  2.562    2  2.890    2 0.7295    3 0.7204    4   1100  0.574  2.733  3.046
Notre Dame                    7   2   1  255  122  1.434    7  2.454    7  1.924    7  1.914   12 0.6456   15 0.5906   10    833  0.929  2.123  1.705
Pennsylvania                  6   2   0  237   88  1.287   14  2.152   14  1.322    8  1.833   17 0.6063   18 0.5809   17    418  0.822  1.926  1.740
Miami (Florida)               9   1   1  211   99  0.171   17  1.976   17  1.004   26  0.715   15 0.6115   23 0.5685   18    406  0.791  0.774  0.655
Columbia                      8   1   0  251  105 -0.203   18  1.972   18  0.993   28  0.637   24 0.5599   14 0.5919   26     50  1.269  1.257  0.016
Temple                        7   1   0  198   51 -0.320   19  1.928   19  0.900   36  0.302   31 0.5350   33 0.5375   14    566  0.615  0.185  0.420
Holy Cross                    8   2   0  223   52 -0.072   23  1.742   23  0.567   21  0.800   22 0.5638   17 0.5899   27     25  0.508  0.583  1.018
Villanova                     4   4   0   89  169  0.507   24  1.682   24  0.553   35  0.317   20 0.5737   10 0.6115   29      0  0.189 -0.165  0.799
Michigan State                5   3   1  120  128  0.337   25  1.661   25  0.510   38  0.221   23 0.5612   40 0.5210   30      0  0.571  0.061  0.380
St. Mary's                    6   2   0  256   65  0.367   27  1.607   27  0.404   24  0.749   33 0.5246   19 0.5788   16    455  0.942  0.973  0.525
Great Lakes Navy              6   4   1  221  164  1.039   33  1.502   33  0.235   17  1.007   16 0.6093   13 0.5977   19    393  1.048  1.354  0.661
Penn State                    5   3   0  173   89  0.108   35  1.467   36  0.167   32  0.440   36 0.5215   30 0.5396   36      0  0.844  0.556  0.324
Virginia                      7   2   0  265   79 -0.472   39  1.454   39  0.145   33  0.379   46 0.4990   51 0.4879   40      0  1.046  0.723  0.035
Marquette                     5   4   1  238  156  0.092   40  1.437   40  0.119   34  0.338   41 0.5149   58 0.4667   41      0  1.245  0.928 -0.252
Tennessee-Chattanooga         5   3   0  153  129  0.017   42  1.425   42  0.097   48 -0.179   32 0.5302   43 0.5123   25     60  0.844 -0.063 -0.295
Yale                          6   3   0  160  102 -0.494   44  1.320   44 -0.107   53 -0.229   48 0.4960   42 0.5129   44      0  0.735 -0.228 -0.230
Detroit Mercy                 6   3   0  193  114 -0.480   51  1.234   51 -0.251   63 -0.474   66 0.4572   86 0.3724   51      0  0.894 -0.304 -0.644
Pittsburgh                    3   7   0   87  141  0.369   52  1.214   52 -0.280   42  0.007   60 0.4707   74 0.4153   52      0  0.139 -0.512  0.526
Cornell                       5   4   0  169  166 -0.403   53  1.212   54 -0.290   60 -0.382   62 0.4657   56 0.4772   53      0  1.225  0.183 -0.946
Colgate                       3   4   1  128  111 -0.304   61  1.028   61 -0.486   69 -0.534   75 0.4353   50 0.4891   61      0  0.483 -0.774 -0.295
Brown                         3   4   1  123  141 -0.415   63  1.020   63 -0.500   68 -0.531   64 0.4637   54 0.4822   63      0  0.747 -0.517 -0.545
Merchant Marine               5   3   0  175  127 -1.063   72  0.831   72 -0.695   83 -0.997   73 0.4409   44 0.5104   72      0  1.053 -0.645 -1.350
Dartmouth                     1   6   1   40  119  0.062   78  0.761   78 -0.816   61 -0.427   79 0.4196   67 0.4334   78      0 -0.044 -1.073  0.218
Colorado College              4   3   1  128   95 -0.997   81  0.709   81 -0.908   85 -1.047   81 0.4048   79 0.3941   81      0  0.390 -1.368 -0.726
Princeton                     2   3   2   69  112 -0.591   83  0.700   83 -0.923   77 -0.839   78 0.4205   75 0.4079   83      0  0.550 -1.018 -0.660
Bucknell                      2   5   0   68  194 -0.761   86  0.622   86 -1.065   92 -1.593   89 0.3852   81 0.3887   86      0  1.006 -1.296 -1.891
Harvard                       5   3   0  161   80 -1.166   88  0.559   89 -1.189   75 -0.687   54 0.4779   29 0.5487   88      0  0.631 -0.789 -0.584
Boston College                3   4   0   79  171 -1.414   89  0.558   88 -1.186   94 -1.893   85 0.3910   84 0.3759   89      0  1.095 -1.489 -2.296
Syracuse                      1   6   0   38  106 -0.487   91  0.456   91 -1.381   81 -0.965   94 0.3450   91 0.3379   91      0  0.136 -1.486 -0.443
West Virginia                 2   6   1  122  126 -0.577   92  0.442   92 -1.392   87 -1.077   95 0.3352   98 0.2963   92      0  0.594 -1.215 -0.940
New York University           3   4   0   89  125 -2.023   96  0.207   96 -1.816  100 -2.476   98 0.3274  100 0.2769   96      0  0.653 -2.557 -2.396
Lafayette                     1   7   1   58  210 -1.305   97  0.103   97 -1.990   96 -2.113   97 0.3289   90 0.3514   97      0  0.630 -2.216 -2.010
Presbyterian                  1   6   0   47  288 -1.216   98  0.091   98 -2.012  101 -2.735   91 0.3707   95 0.3053   98      0  0.675 -2.794 -2.676
Coast Guard                   0   7   1   31  209 -0.776  100  0.066  100 -2.059   95 -2.075   93 0.3463   88 0.3648  100      0  0.597 -2.209 -1.940

Mountain States: strength=-0.763 (#9)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Colorado                      5   3   0  111   58 -0.701   66  0.940   67 -0.639   49 -0.186   50 0.4860   24 0.5682   66      0  0.346 -0.543  0.172
Utah                          4   4   0  146  165 -0.374   67  0.927   66 -0.618   58 -0.355   53 0.4808   28 0.5521   67      0  1.118  0.076 -0.785
Denver                        4   5   1  201  182 -0.561   71  0.833   71 -0.686   62 -0.448   76 0.4345   62 0.4527   71      0  1.289  0.200 -1.095
Utah State                    4   3   0  173   92 -0.888   75  0.799   75 -0.753   79 -0.882   86 0.3872   80 0.3914   75      0  0.750 -0.865 -0.899
Colorado State                2   5   1   90  178 -1.056   93  0.408   93 -1.449   93 -1.771   99 0.3263   93 0.3229   93      0  0.638 -1.866 -1.675

MVC: strength=-0.288 (#6)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Oklahoma State                9   0   0  285   76  0.497    6  2.484    6  1.977   10  1.714    6 0.6664    4 0.6975    6    985  1.114  2.140  1.287
Tulsa                         8   3   0  275   84  0.711   20  1.905   20  0.852   15  1.168   25 0.5561   27 0.5558   21    322  0.477  0.923  1.412
St. Louis                     5   4   0  194  139 -0.873   77  0.787   77 -0.775   90 -1.411   87 0.3861  101 0.2492   77      0  0.638 -1.506 -1.316
Drake                         5   4   1  217  115 -0.715   80  0.730   80 -0.876   66 -0.491   84 0.3944   94 0.3105   80      0  0.729 -0.496 -0.487
Wichita State                 6   4   0  214  142 -1.414   87  0.563   87 -1.183   91 -1.426   88 0.3856   97 0.2984   87      0  0.713 -1.446 -1.405

PCC: strength=-0.659 (#7)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Southern California           7   4   0  205  150 -0.106   46  1.278   47 -0.177   40  0.142   44 0.5064   21 0.5715   46      0  0.915  0.335 -0.052
Washington State              6   2   1  157   70 -0.790   48  1.263   48 -0.202   54 -0.230   59 0.4711   25 0.5629   48      0  0.641 -0.322 -0.137
Washington                    6   3   0   91   54 -0.709   50  1.235   50 -0.249   57 -0.348   63 0.4640   31 0.5381   50      0 -0.103 -1.031  0.335
UCLA                          5   4   0  135   79 -0.371   69  0.901   70 -0.664   50 -0.203   72 0.4411   70 0.4258   69      0  0.239 -0.646  0.241
California                    4   5   1   93  107 -0.430   70  0.849   69 -0.661   74 -0.672   82 0.4002   82 0.3875   70      0  0.408 -0.977 -0.367
Oregon State                  4   4   1  100  131 -0.778   79  0.753   79 -0.835   82 -0.978   77 0.4273   34 0.5332   79      0  0.602 -1.108 -0.848
Oregon                        3   6   0  116  124 -0.726   85  0.636   85 -1.039   78 -0.856   90 0.3771   71 0.4244   85      0  0.956 -0.616 -1.097
Idaho                         1   7   0   78  175 -1.244  101  0.000  101 -2.188   97 -2.174  101 0.2839   89 0.3524  101      0  0.777 -2.129 -2.220

SEC: strength=0.423 (#2)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Alabama                      10   0   0  430   80  1.477    2  2.814    2  2.623    3  2.653    3 0.7026    2 0.7245    2   1200  1.349  3.379  1.926
Georgia                       9   2   0  314  100  1.141    8  2.324    8  1.680    6  1.916   11 0.6459    7 0.6442    7    985  0.952  2.152  1.681
Tennessee                     8   1   0  238   52  0.713   12  2.262   12  1.552   12  1.681    8 0.6505    5 0.6524   15    536  0.484  1.443  1.920
Louisiana State               7   2   0  245   92  1.037   13  2.214   13  1.460   11  1.706   13 0.6237   16 0.5901   11    774  0.989  1.984  1.428
Mississippi State             6   3   0  221  108  0.475   30  1.574   31  0.344   23  0.771   30 0.5378   35 0.5320   13    650  0.902  0.951  0.591
Georgia Tech                  4   6   0  157  165  0.881   31  1.571   30  0.344   29  0.557   37 0.5213   57 0.4745   33      0  0.825  0.652  0.461
Mississippi                   4   5   0  100  183 -0.115   47  1.276   46 -0.177   71 -0.560   51 0.4852   59 0.4617   47      0  0.811 -0.479 -0.640
Tulane                        2   6   1   93  212  0.197   56  1.113   55 -0.331   64 -0.489   71 0.4444   87 0.3666   56      0  1.094 -0.088 -0.891
Auburn                        5   5   0  172  129  0.057   62  1.023   62 -0.497   55 -0.254   52 0.4823   63 0.4497   62      0  0.573 -0.411 -0.097
Vanderbilt                    3   6   0   71  215 -0.316   74  0.803   74 -0.744   76 -0.794   67 0.4547   72 0.4229   74      0  0.545 -0.977 -0.610
Florida                       4   5   1  155  100 -0.508   82  0.701   82 -0.921   70 -0.538   69 0.4517   78 0.3950   82      0  0.164 -1.039 -0.037
Kentucky                      2   8   0   96  217 -0.072   90  0.498   90 -1.300   72 -0.576   80 0.4160   77 0.3955   90      0  0.786 -0.521 -0.630

Southern: strength=-0.022 (#4)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Duke                          6   2   0  229  114  1.221   10  2.277   10  1.589   14  1.435    9 0.6471   12 0.5991   12    654  1.052  1.786  1.084
Wake Forest                   5   3   1  163  151  0.707   21  1.895   21  0.834   25  0.732   18 0.5979   22 0.5696   22    179  0.897  0.906  0.558
Clemson                       6   3   1  211   73  0.409   26  1.650   26  0.492   20  0.807   26 0.5484   45 0.5078   23    112  0.321  0.429  1.186
North Carolina                5   5   0  113  149  0.514   34  1.496   34  0.227   37  0.282   40 0.5149   49 0.4915   35      0  0.559  0.112  0.452
William & Mary                6   3   0  180  110 -0.159   37  1.460   37  0.157   39  0.174   35 0.5217   26 0.5609   38      0  0.868  0.315  0.032
South Carolina                2   4   3  113  192  0.273   38  1.455   38  0.152   51 -0.216   43 0.5074   55 0.4794   39      0  0.645 -0.304 -0.128
Maryland                      6   2   1  219  105 -0.554   45  1.318   45 -0.111   44 -0.028   45 0.5032   37 0.5266   45      0  0.981  0.240 -0.296
North Carolina State          3   6   0  131  144  0.061   65  0.972   65 -0.576   52 -0.220   70 0.4474   73 0.4186   65      0  0.707 -0.247 -0.192
Virginia Military Institute   5   4   0  155  138 -0.578   68  0.915   68 -0.640   73 -0.596   55 0.4742   48 0.4921   68      0  0.952 -0.360 -0.831
Virginia Tech                 2   6   0   78  150 -0.478   84  0.688   84 -0.938   88 -1.088   83 0.3957   85 0.3729   84      0  0.506 -1.306 -0.869
Richmond                      2   6   0   87  216 -1.129   94  0.309   94 -1.624   99 -2.399  100 0.3244   92 0.3314   94      0  0.704 -2.429 -2.370

SWC: strength=0.158 (#3)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Texas                        10   1   0  257   86  0.064   16  2.027   16  1.092   19  0.887   14 0.6189   11 0.6107   20    353  0.868  1.029  0.746
Texas A&M                     6   4   0  159  103  0.239   32  1.566   32  0.331   31  0.445   28 0.5403   32 0.5378   34      0  0.631  0.344  0.547
Texas Christian               5   5   0   91  156  0.024   41  1.428   41  0.103   59 -0.363   38 0.5180   41 0.5179   42      0  0.564 -0.529 -0.198
Baylor                        5   5   1  178  141 -0.019   49  1.244   49 -0.230   46 -0.104   61 0.4687   65 0.4455   49      0  0.845  0.013 -0.221
Southern Methodist            5   6   0  201  110  0.180   55  1.145   56 -0.394   30  0.523   47 0.4990   53 0.4826   55      0  0.532  0.328  0.719
Arkansas                      3   7   0  112  222  0.153   60  1.040   60 -0.461   67 -0.502   68 0.4534   66 0.4396   60      0  1.058 -0.143 -0.861
Rice                          5   6   0  130  153  0.044   64  1.004   64 -0.528   41  0.086   42 0.5132   46 0.5015   64      0  0.545 -0.097  0.269

Western: strength=1.317 (#1)
                                                           STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                          W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Indiana                       9   0   1  279   56  1.330    4  2.637    4  2.283    5  2.167    4 0.7019    6 0.6519    3   1150  0.672  2.106  2.229
Michigan                      7   3   0  187   99  1.912    5  2.513    5  2.049    4  2.312    5 0.6925    8 0.6421    5   1005  0.514  2.100  2.524
Purdue                        7   3   0  198  125  1.360    9  2.300    9  1.642   13  1.480   10 0.6463    9 0.6258    8    878  0.886  1.641  1.319
Ohio State                    7   2   0  194   71  1.120   11  2.268   11  1.570    9  1.794    7 0.6518   20 0.5748    9    834  0.640  1.701  1.887
Northwestern                  4   4   1  127  148  1.316   15  2.115   15  1.252   16  1.064   19 0.5972   36 0.5276   24     77  1.000  1.354  0.773
Wisconsin                     3   4   2  128  128  1.058   22  1.859   22  0.776   18  0.946   21 0.5687   47 0.4961   28      0  0.636  0.850  1.043
Illinois                      2   6   1   93  104  1.158   29  1.584   29  0.370   22  0.795   34 0.5246   68 0.4330   32      0  0.139  0.276  1.315
Minnesota                     4   5   0  177  155  0.716   36  1.466   35  0.171   27  0.656   29 0.5381   61 0.4575   37      0  1.156  1.134  0.179
Iowa                          2   7   0   74  310  0.272   58  1.054   58 -0.433   80 -0.892   56 0.4739   83 0.3843   58      0  1.038 -0.557 -1.227

Conference Strengths
CONFERENCE        W   L   T   PCT  RNK RATING
Western          45  34   5 0.565    1  1.317
SEC              64  49   2 0.565    2  0.423
SWC              39  34   1 0.534    3  0.158
Southern         48  44   6 0.520    4 -0.022
Independent     160 123  15 0.562    5 -0.219
MVC              33  15   1 0.684    6 -0.288
PCC              36  35   3 0.507    7 -0.659
Border           11  12   3 0.481    8 -0.697
Mountain States  19  20   2 0.488    9 -0.763
Big 6            24  29   2 0.455   10 -0.806

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.249 points in main ratings
     0.022 points in improved RPI
Average of 6.20 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:13:17 2007

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