Explanation: Each team is listed with its record, overall score differential, and six ratings. Brief explanations of the ratings follow.
Because these ratings contain no prejudices regarding team or conference strengths, they tend to be quite inaccurate early in the seasons. College football appears to take at least 5 games per team before even remotely reasonable ratings are produced; acceptable ratings are produced with 8 games per team; excellent ratings unfortunately require 14 games per team.

Full Ranking

                                                     STANDARD   MED LIKELY  PREDICTIVE  IMPRVD RPI     RPI         POLL   
TEAM                    W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Princeton              12   1   0  185   21  1.029    1  2.209    1  1.987    3  1.669    1 0.6723    1 0.6814    1   1232 -0.204  1.376  1.963
Harvard                10   0   1  210   10  0.897    2  2.179    2  1.933    2  1.882    2 0.6458    3 0.6443    2   1212 -0.237  1.568  2.197
Chicago                16   0   2  505   28  0.803    3  2.051    3  1.708    1  1.894    4 0.6327    2 0.6672    3   1152  0.408  2.056  1.732
Lafayette              12   1   0  253   23  0.757    4  2.041    4  1.690    7  1.387    3 0.6403    4 0.6297    4   1084 -0.481  0.934  1.841
Iowa                    8   0   1  223    5  0.673    5  1.943    5  1.480    6  1.415    7 0.5932    5 0.6059    6   1006 -0.245  1.096  1.735
Carlisle                9   2   0  383   46  1.159    6  1.838    6  1.257    4  1.547    5 0.6054    6 0.6006    5   1064  0.953  2.241  0.853
Pennsylvania            8   3   2  268   81  0.982    7  1.811    7  1.231    8  1.380    8 0.5911    8 0.5790   12    694  0.776  1.888  0.873
Yale                    7   2   1  191   16  0.842    8  1.783    8  1.186    5  1.521    9 0.5884   11 0.5715   11    786 -0.315  1.160  1.883
Cornell                 7   3   0  134   52  0.920    9  1.732    9  1.097   10  1.119    6 0.5958    7 0.5863    9    825  0.256  1.154  1.084
Wisconsin               9   2   0  270   33  0.615   10  1.676   10  0.990    9  1.318   10 0.5786    9 0.5721   10    821  0.404  1.476  1.160
TEAM                    W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Wesleyan                8   2   0  207   53  0.197   11  1.614   11  0.863   12  0.781   11 0.5668   10 0.5720   15    571  0.430  0.961  0.600
Brown                   7   3   1  175   57  0.687   12  1.582   12  0.804   11  0.844   13 0.5463   12 0.5586   14    579  0.146  0.792  0.895
Columbia                9   3   0  224   91  0.423   13  1.580   13  0.798   14  0.534   12 0.5532   21 0.4823    8    868  0.622  0.891  0.178
Michigan                8   2   0  176   43  0.321   14  1.452   14  0.544   13  0.606   15 0.5273   18 0.5163    7    943  0.238  0.627  0.585
Williams                9   4   0  160   93 -0.037   15  1.215   15  0.076   18  0.212   14 0.5364   14 0.5452   17    413  0.381  0.351  0.073
Army                    4   5   0   57  100  0.110   16  1.185   16  0.033   21 -0.207   23 0.4923   26 0.4280   26      0  0.379 -0.070 -0.344
Grinnell                7   2   1  129   38 -0.028   17  1.163   17 -0.009   16  0.273   16 0.5215   20 0.4830   13    663  0.009  0.121  0.424
Navy                    5   3   0   94   27  0.011   18  1.156   18 -0.021   15  0.354   20 0.5058   25 0.4280   24    127  0.049  0.231  0.476
Indiana                 6   2   0  133   33 -0.613   19  1.115   19 -0.103   22 -0.218   22 0.4959   17 0.5164   22    223  0.296 -0.151 -0.285
Beloit                  5   2   2  136   82 -0.243   20  1.077   21 -0.170   20 -0.158   18 0.5177   19 0.4912   16    500  0.303 -0.084 -0.231
TEAM                    W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Minnesota               6   3   2  151   79 -0.228   21  1.058   20 -0.165   25 -0.272   26 0.4710   28 0.4021   18    409  0.051 -0.394 -0.151
Notre Dame              6   3   1  169   55 -0.169   22  0.903   22 -0.422   17  0.257   19 0.5176   13 0.5487   20    257  0.264  0.299  0.216
Bucknell                6   4   0  149  129 -0.185   23  0.871   23 -0.473   23 -0.227   17 0.5190   15 0.5267   21    233  0.727  0.231 -0.686
Massachusetts           7   3   0  136   66 -1.051   24  0.869   24 -0.477   33 -0.968   31 0.4293   37 0.3185   25     60  0.261 -0.929 -1.006
Iowa State              5   4   1  117   38 -0.151   25  0.841   25 -0.521   24 -0.249   35 0.4142   40 0.2912   19    345 -0.263 -0.580  0.081
Northwestern            7   6   0  144  177 -0.456   26  0.756   26 -0.649   29 -0.609   21 0.4996   16 0.5220   27      0  0.515 -0.353 -0.866
Syracuse                4   4   0   63   63 -0.287   27  0.743   27 -0.670   27 -0.468   28 0.4443   30 0.3868   28      0  0.178 -0.494 -0.441
Purdue                  4   4   1  100  122 -0.654   28  0.737   28 -0.680   34 -0.983   27 0.4462   23 0.4435   29      0  0.667 -0.583 -1.382
Dartmouth               2   7   0   70   95  0.363   29  0.720   29 -0.703   19 -0.092   34 0.4207   32 0.3751   30      0  0.237 -0.072 -0.111
Penn State              4   6   1  104  176  0.012   30  0.703   30 -0.739   26 -0.421   24 0.4738   24 0.4383   31      0  0.151 -0.468 -0.373
TEAM                    W   L   T   PF   PA  SCHED  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  RNK RATING  P-SCR  P-OFF  P-DEF
Tufts                   7   4   0  103   83 -0.967   31  0.679   32 -0.779   31 -0.628   25 0.4717   22 0.4650   32      0  0.002 -0.784 -0.471
Holy Cross              5   5   0  135   81 -0.554   32  0.672   31 -0.764   28 -0.516   29 0.4387   27 0.4086   33      0  0.408 -0.354 -0.677
Amherst                 4   7   1   72  193 -0.747   33  0.581   33 -0.910   36 -1.246   32 0.4263   31 0.3837   34      0 -0.021 -1.418 -1.073
Dickinson               6   6   1  184  108 -0.508   34  0.560   34 -0.944   30 -0.618   36 0.4142   39 0.3011   23    183  0.552 -0.327 -0.908
Trinity (Connecticut)   3   5   1   61  161 -0.778   35  0.540   35 -0.972   38 -1.425   33 0.4215   33 0.3749   35      0  0.451 -1.226 -1.624
Illinois                3   5   1   40   96 -0.589   36  0.523   36 -1.000   35 -1.077   38 0.3765   36 0.3194   36      0 -0.897 -1.723 -0.431
Lake Forest             4   6   2   66  202 -0.983   37  0.335   37 -1.292   39 -1.823   37 0.3993   34 0.3521   37      0  0.191 -1.840 -1.807
Lehigh                  2   9   0   60  144  0.148   38  0.279   38 -1.379   32 -0.702   30 0.4300   29 0.3950   38      0 -0.392 -1.107 -0.297
Bowdoin                 2   6   0   41   96 -0.860   39  0.259   39 -1.415   37 -1.325   39 0.3420   38 0.3012   39      0  0.439 -1.136 -1.513
M.I.T.                  0   6   0   17  157 -0.866   40  0.000   40 -1.969   40 -1.872   40 0.3364   35 0.3470   40      0  0.769 -1.372 -2.372
UNRANKED               26 134   7  671 3513 -0.631      -1.000      -1.000      -1.538      0.3942      0.3659           0  0.606 -1.197 -1.879


Independent: strength=0.035 (#1)
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI RPI POLL TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF Princeton 12 1 0 185 21 1.029 1 2.209 1 1.987 3 1.669 1 0.6723 1 0.6814 1 1232 -0.204 1.376 1.963 Harvard 10 0 1 210 10 0.897 2 2.179 2 1.933 2 1.882 2 0.6458 3 0.6443 2 1212 -0.237 1.568 2.197 Lafayette 12 1 0 253 23 0.757 4 2.041 4 1.690 7 1.387 3 0.6403 4 0.6297 4 1084 -0.481 0.934 1.841 Iowa 8 0 1 223 5 0.673 5 1.943 5 1.480 6 1.415 7 0.5932 5 0.6059 6 1006 -0.245 1.096 1.735 Carlisle 9 2 0 383 46 1.159 6 1.838 6 1.257 4 1.547 5 0.6054 6 0.6006 5 1064 0.953 2.241 0.853 Pennsylvania 8 3 2 268 81 0.982 7 1.811 7 1.231 8 1.380 8 0.5911 8 0.5790 12 694 0.776 1.888 0.873 Yale 7 2 1 191 16 0.842 8 1.783 8 1.186 5 1.521 9 0.5884 11 0.5715 11 786 -0.315 1.160 1.883 Cornell 7 3 0 134 52 0.920 9 1.732 9 1.097 10 1.119 6 0.5958 7 0.5863 9 825 0.256 1.154 1.084 Wesleyan 8 2 0 207 53 0.197 11 1.614 11 0.863 12 0.781 11 0.5668 10 0.5720 15 571 0.430 0.961 0.600 Brown 7 3 1 175 57 0.687 12 1.582 12 0.804 11 0.844 13 0.5463 12 0.5586 14 579 0.146 0.792 0.895 Columbia 9 3 0 224 91 0.423 13 1.580 13 0.798 14 0.534 12 0.5532 21 0.4823 8 868 0.622 0.891 0.178 Williams 9 4 0 160 93 -0.037 15 1.215 15 0.076 18 0.212 14 0.5364 14 0.5452 17 413 0.381 0.351 0.073 Army 4 5 0 57 100 0.110 16 1.185 16 0.033 21 -0.207 23 0.4923 26 0.4280 26 0 0.379 -0.070 -0.344 Grinnell 7 2 1 129 38 -0.028 17 1.163 17 -0.009 16 0.273 16 0.5215 20 0.4830 13 663 0.009 0.121 0.424 Navy 5 3 0 94 27 0.011 18 1.156 18 -0.021 15 0.354 20 0.5058 25 0.4280 24 127 0.049 0.231 0.476 Indiana 6 2 0 133 33 -0.613 19 1.115 19 -0.103 22 -0.218 22 0.4959 17 0.5164 22 223 0.296 -0.151 -0.285 Beloit 5 2 2 136 82 -0.243 20 1.077 21 -0.170 20 -0.158 18 0.5177 19 0.4912 16 500 0.303 -0.084 -0.231 Notre Dame 6 3 1 169 55 -0.169 22 0.903 22 -0.422 17 0.257 19 0.5176 13 0.5487 20 257 0.264 0.299 0.216 Bucknell 6 4 0 149 129 -0.185 23 0.871 23 -0.473 23 -0.227 17 0.5190 15 0.5267 21 233 0.727 0.231 -0.686 Massachusetts 7 3 0 136 66 -1.051 24 0.869 24 -0.477 33 -0.968 31 0.4293 37 0.3185 25 60 0.261 -0.929 -1.006 Iowa State 5 4 1 117 38 -0.151 25 0.841 25 -0.521 24 -0.249 35 0.4142 40 0.2912 19 345 -0.263 -0.580 0.081 Syracuse 4 4 0 63 63 -0.287 27 0.743 27 -0.670 27 -0.468 28 0.4443 30 0.3868 28 0 0.178 -0.494 -0.441 Dartmouth 2 7 0 70 95 0.363 29 0.720 29 -0.703 19 -0.092 34 0.4207 32 0.3751 30 0 0.237 -0.072 -0.111 Penn State 4 6 1 104 176 0.012 30 0.703 30 -0.739 26 -0.421 24 0.4738 24 0.4383 31 0 0.151 -0.468 -0.373 Tufts 7 4 0 103 83 -0.967 31 0.679 32 -0.779 31 -0.628 25 0.4717 22 0.4650 32 0 0.002 -0.784 -0.471 Holy Cross 5 5 0 135 81 -0.554 32 0.672 31 -0.764 28 -0.516 29 0.4387 27 0.4086 33 0 0.408 -0.354 -0.677 Amherst 4 7 1 72 193 -0.747 33 0.581 33 -0.910 36 -1.246 32 0.4263 31 0.3837 34 0 -0.021 -1.418 -1.073 Dickinson 6 6 1 184 108 -0.508 34 0.560 34 -0.944 30 -0.618 36 0.4142 39 0.3011 23 183 0.552 -0.327 -0.908 Trinity (Connecticut) 3 5 1 61 161 -0.778 35 0.540 35 -0.972 38 -1.425 33 0.4215 33 0.3749 35 0 0.451 -1.226 -1.624 Lake Forest 4 6 2 66 202 -0.983 37 0.335 37 -1.292 39 -1.823 37 0.3993 34 0.3521 37 0 0.191 -1.840 -1.807 Lehigh 2 9 0 60 144 0.148 38 0.279 38 -1.379 32 -0.702 30 0.4300 29 0.3950 38 0 -0.392 -1.107 -0.297 Bowdoin 2 6 0 41 96 -0.860 39 0.259 39 -1.415 37 -1.325 39 0.3420 38 0.3012 39 0 0.439 -1.136 -1.513 M.I.T. 0 6 0 17 157 -0.866 40 0.000 40 -1.969 40 -1.872 40 0.3364 35 0.3470 40 0 0.769 -1.372 -2.372
Western: strength=0.017 (#2)
STANDARD MED LIKELY PREDICTIVE IMPRVD RPI RPI POLL TEAM W L T PF PA SCHED RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING RNK RATING P-SCR P-OFF P-DEF Chicago 16 0 2 505 28 0.803 3 2.051 3 1.708 1 1.894 4 0.6327 2 0.6672 3 1152 0.408 2.056 1.732 Wisconsin 9 2 0 270 33 0.615 10 1.676 10 0.990 9 1.318 10 0.5786 9 0.5721 10 821 0.404 1.476 1.160 Michigan 8 2 0 176 43 0.321 14 1.452 14 0.544 13 0.606 15 0.5273 18 0.5163 7 943 0.238 0.627 0.585 Minnesota 6 3 2 151 79 -0.228 21 1.058 20 -0.165 25 -0.272 26 0.4710 28 0.4021 18 409 0.051 -0.394 -0.151 Northwestern 7 6 0 144 177 -0.456 26 0.756 26 -0.649 29 -0.609 21 0.4996 16 0.5220 27 0 0.515 -0.353 -0.866 Purdue 4 4 1 100 122 -0.654 28 0.737 28 -0.680 34 -0.983 27 0.4462 23 0.4435 29 0 0.667 -0.583 -1.382 Illinois 3 5 1 40 96 -0.589 36 0.523 36 -1.000 35 -1.077 38 0.3765 36 0.3194 36 0 -0.897 -1.723 -0.431
Conference Strengths CONFERENCE W L T PCT RNK RATING Independent 200 123 17 0.613 1 0.035 Western 53 22 6 0.691 2 0.017

Home field advantage amounts to:
     0.214 points in main ratings
     0.022 points in improved RPI
Average of 5.65 points per score

posted: Mon Dec 31 14:14:03 2007

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